109. Kelly Olynyk
110. Andrew Wiggins
111. Mo Bamba
112. Mike Conley
113. RJ Barrett
114. Dillon Brooks
115. Kelly Oubre
116. Monte Morris
117. Russell Westbrook
118. Brook Lopez
119. Josh Hart
120. Collin Sexton
121. Javale Mcgee
122. Harrison Barnes
123. Bones Hyland
124. Brandon Clarke
125. Javonte Green
126. Daniel Gafford
127. Chris Boucher
128. Aleksej Pokusevski
129. Jalen Suggs
130. John Wall
131. Caleb Martin
132. Mason Plumlee
133. Steven Adams
134. De’Anthony Melton
135. Isaiah Hartenstein
136. Bogdan Bogdanovic
137. Isaiah Jackson
138. Malik Beasley
139. Patrick Beverley
140. Kevin Love
141. Bojan Bogdanovic
142. Immanuel Quickley
143. Matisse Thybulle
144. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
145. Walker Kessler
146. Bennedict Mathurin
147. Bobby Portis
148. Onyeka Okongwu
149. Markelle Fultz
150. Tari Eason
Rounds 2 & 3
Rounds 4 & 5
Rounds 6 & 7
Rounds 8 & 9
109. Kelly Olynyk – UTA – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.183 (138)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.055 (104)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.173 (83)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.192 (147)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.349 (107)
Olynyk received a massive shot in the arm after being dealt to the Jazz. He’s a physical player not shy to bang inside and able to bring his team mates into the game as well. I think he makes a fantastic piece for the Jazz to showcase and flip for more picks at the deadline. My immediate thought was what a brilliant piece he would be for the Lakers next to AD. Able to play C and space the floor while also being an adept passer. There’s a good chance we see a similar per minute player to the KO we saw in Houston and that’s fantastic for owners.
- Balanced – I’m happy taking Olynyk in almost every build. You can usually wait a round after this to get him too.
- There’s a 28-30 minute ceiling here that I haven’t actually factored in but that’s a top 70 player. I would think 26 would be around the amount of minutes he would play in LA if traded there also.
110. Andrew Wiggins – GSW – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.255 (109)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.054 (105)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.203 (74)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.267 (125)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.487 (80)
Wiggins had a massive playoffs and finals series which I thought would elevate him up draft boards. I do see him going around the 90 mark in some drafts, which represents his upside in my opinion. There’s not much in his game I really see changing too much. I think his rebounds come back somewhat, his 3P% comes back down to earth a little (maybe it stays high) but overall you’ve got yourself a nice guy post 100 who does a little of everything from one of your wing spots.
- Punt FT – He’s a later round Punt FT scorer that can do a little bit of everything for you late and will reliably play games throughout the season.
- Nothing really to see here, there’s a lot of talk about the Warriors resting guys more this year, Poole is the big benefactor of that if it does eventuate.
111. Mo Bamba – ORL – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.280 (101)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.040 (110)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.085 (102)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.360 (101)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.400 (95)
I’ve gone back and forward on Mo Bamba this year. I had him out past 150, then brought him in a little and now I have brought him in a lot. Why? Well he blocks shots and rebounds without killing your FT%. That’s invaluable. I don’t think he plays the 25 mins he played last year. Maybe it’s closer to 20 but I think around 22. He will backup the 5 and play some 4 next to WCJ vs two big teams. The hope is he can be better as a solo big man this season as his numbers without WCJ were awful. Still, with the added height in Orlando he should be able to thrive and play as the help defender more often with bigger bodies around him.
- Balanced – I think he becomes the go to 3 and block defender over Brook Lopez and Chris Boucher post-100.
- Punt FG – you tend to need boards and blocks, he does so with a triple to boot and won’t kill your FT%.
- Minutes are the key here, there’s a chance he drops to 20 or less and then you’re not really getting value here. A safe spot to draft him is 120-130 but I think this is around par value given if the minutes are 24 you have a top 90 guy.
112. Mike Conley – UTA – PG
SR Value (Rank): 0.205 (124)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.018 (119)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.037 (141)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.295 (120)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.229 (141)
This might feel a touch early for Conley, and it might be. He isn’t quite what he used to be but he will be a veteran leader for this new, young, tanking Jazz line-up. His minutes will likely dwindle somewhat but his overall production should be somewhat close to what we have seen in previous seasons. He’s a reliable late round point guard and they are almost all gone by this point of the draft which brings him up ahead of the numbers here. He might get dealt to a contender at some point but I think he makes a lot of sense here, the market for him will be small as his defensive quickness has dropped off and he would largely be a low minute bench guard for a contender.
- Balanced – he’s a diverse point guard with assists, 3s, steals and a splash of points. His FT% is clean and his volume from the field is small enough it won’t hurt your FG% overall.
- Minutes and age are the key here. Does he hold up this year or does he begin to fade away / drop off. Theres definitely risk of that here especially for a tanking team.
113. RJ Barrett – NYK – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.214 (122)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.038 (132)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.057 (111)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.231 (132)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.392 (99)
This is high for Barrett based on past performance. He has never actually finished in the top 150 or even top 200 before. This is largely due to his percentages not coming together reliably. Still he has had seasons where he’s been elite from 3. He’s had seasons where he has been solid from the FT line. And this year, his 22yo season is where I think he can start to pull it all together. I think his defense can take further strides this year (very incrementally per minute gains to steals and blocks) and he will be a better passer too in a team with other playmakers around him. His 3 ball is the key, he has a season (2 seasons ago) where he shot 40% from deep. He dropped down to 34% on increased volume last year but I think he can make both a volume and efficiency jump in 22-23 with a capable PG distributing him the ball. I have him playing big minutes this year as well which further boost these numbers.
- Punt FG – he’s inefficient from both the field and the line. Punting one of these and having enough of the other to overcome it is the best approach here. He offers good boards from a wing spot here along with great scoring and 3s to build production here.
- Punt FT – Probably the better of the two builds to slot Barrett into is Punt FT. This build is elite in blocks and FG% meaning Barrett’s flaws are overcome in spades and we can take advantage of the points, 3s and assists we need from him.
- I am predicting a fairly large jump forward for a 4th year player, but Barrett is so young that this is more like a 2nd or 3rd year jump for most players.
114. Dillon Brooks – MEM – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.247 (112)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.016 (120)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.041 (115)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.321 (109)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.344 (110)
I’m unreasonably high on Dillon Brooks in 22/23. Nobody else is high on him. Everyone has him 130 or later. He shot it awfully from 3 last year and this will bounce back as he has seasons at 36%+. He’s also going to play far more minutes than he did last year. JJJ is out and Brooks provides size and physicality on the wing that likely replacement PF starter Santi Aldama will not provide. Brooks is like a discount store Gary Trent, which if you follow other analysts might put you off even more, however in the right punt builds Brooks provides specialist wing stats that will be important for some teams at this point of the draft – and you can probably wait a round or two before actually drafting him.
- Punt FG – His strongest punt, if you’ve loaded up on assists early in this build and need some scoring punch late with very nice FT% and steals Brooks is your guy.
- Balanced – nothing about Brooks line strikes me as must punt. 42% isn’t ideal but it won’t ruin your team either.
- Brooks is notorious for being an ill-advised shot taking ball hog. That will begin to trend down as Memphis reigns this behaviour in for a more considered 1-2 punch of Morant and Bane. Brooks will still feed as he likely plays some time as a hybrid starter / 6th man.
115. Kelly Oubre – CHA – SG/SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.244 (113)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.005 (124)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.028 (123)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.316 (110)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.345 (108)
Another inefficient wing player here. Oubre is the sort of player that benefits from my evaluation method. Clifford has really challenged him to be better defensively this year and I think we see him get back to that harassing style he once had in Washington and Golden State. He can be a difference maker at that end which might earn him enough minutes to be a fantasy contributor in 22-23. His 2P% spiked last year to 57% which is akin to big men. I don’t think this holds, and with his shot distribution so heavily slanted towards 3s this will likely impact his FG% heavily.
- Punt FT – One of those strange players who has a capable outside shot but struggles from the line. Oubre fits in nicely to Punt FT builds as a points, 3s and steal guy late.
- Punt Assists – a non factor in assists. He gives us good scoring, 3s and steals which are needed here. You’ll need to have really focused on FT% in earlier rounds.
- Oubre stabilised his FG% last year in a smaller role for the Hornets. He will have a larger role this year and I could see it suffering somewhat. Still he took 10 3s per 36 in Charlotte, which is 4 more than at any other point in his career. Charlotte clearly want him bombing from deep and so this will damage his FG% if his %s come back to the norm.
116. Monte Morris – WAS – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.279 (102)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.023 (114)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.222 (69)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.305 (115)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.507 (76)
Monte is one of those efficient, quiet, low volume guys that just chips away and is an extremely useful asset in roto leagues but doesn’t quite hold the same weight in h2h. Still the move to Washington should be a good one for his minutes. He will have a ton of options to spread the ball around to, and won’t have to spend most of his time playing off ball. Beal will benefit from someone else distributing him the ball. I don’t expect it to be a massive factor for Morris’s line but it could definitely have a positive overall impact with slightly more assists and shots coming his way.
- Balanced – you can comfortably draft Morris into almost any build. You may lean punt points with him but he isn’t going to force you in this direction this late in the draft.
- Morris is a high floor player given he doesn’t hurt you anywhere. He has a very strong A/TO ratio which will hold him in very good stead to provide overall value.
117. Russell Westbrook – LAL – PG
SR Value (Rank): 0.110 (166)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.344 (236)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.322 (230)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.132 (169)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.175 (158)
Westbrook is being slept on this season. Sure he had a down year, the Lakers media made him a scapegoat for a team that was just assembled with no sense and coached by a man without a plan for how to use a team with zero ability to space the floor. Enter Darvin Ham and an offseason where Russ was focus on improving his 3-point shot from a single side of the floor and there’s signs of life. The move to the bench may actually prove to help his overall value. I expect him to shoot less 3s, especially garbage ones, I expect him to play less minutes with the depth the Lakers now have – which isn’t the best thing. There will still be horrendous FT%. But post 100 there aren’t too many ~15-16 ppg scorers who also get you 6 and 6 with a steal and a triple. Those guys are all typically taken inside the top 60. If you are punt FT%, Westbrook is a home run swing late that has very little downside given you’re likely only 3-4 picks away from the free agency pool.
- Punt FT – high volume big man type FT% is not ideal for a point guard. It probably isn’t going to spoil an otherwise strong FT% but ideally this your catch-up in points and assists plan for a great punt FT% squad.
- Punt TO – He’s still deadweight in TOs, I’m not that upset about it as it’s so hard to find assists and you’re still getting a 2:1 A/TO ratio. This is more applicable as a double punt with FT in a Doncic, Gobert, Simmons, KPJ build.
- Yes WB could be traded and then bought out so you get a donut here. You aren’t investing that much into him for that to be a huge issue. Drop him and move on. In the right build you’re getting top 80 per game stats in the worst (he’s still playing) case scenario.
118. Brook Lopez – MIL – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.212 (123)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.045 (108)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.081 (158)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.327 (108)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.194 (150)
The oldest unicorn in the game Brook Lopez is still swinging. He didn’t play many games last year but looks set to return to the starting lineup providing a stretch big presence next to Giannis. Health will be the key here, I expect slightly less minutes than we saw in his last healthy season, as such his overall line will trend down somewhat. He’s still great value this late, especially with the scarcity of blocks. Lopez could be the difference between 5 wins in the block category and 10 across the season.
- Punt FG – He gives us 1.5 3s and nearly the same blocks without hurting FT% making him a great option for punt FG builds in R10 or later.
- Games played will be the real key here. Portis does not serve the same purpose as Lopez in the line-up and as such shouldn’t steal too many minutes.
119. Josh Hart – POR – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.156 (143)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.100 (89)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.052 (149)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.272 (123)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.080 (187)
A hard player to read coming into 22-23. He could be a steal here, he was a lot better once he got to Portland, being afforded more shots and more freedom to contribute offensively. He is a good defender and a swiss army knife wing for Portland. The key will be minutes. It’s unclear who will start for the Blazers between Hart and Little. It shouldn’t have too great of an effect on Hart’s minutes either way as there will be plenty of need for his versatility offensively and defensively. The real selling point for Hart is the out of position rebounds and 9 category game.
- Balanced – he fits any build. Punt FG could use the out of position rebounds. Punt FT could use the points, 3s and assists. Other teams can use it all.
- Hart barely shot the ball in preseason. He was the 3rd highest rebounder though with the rest of his line intact. I’m not reading too much into this at this stage but to see him so far down the pecking order for shots was a little odd.
120. Collin Sexton – UTA – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.135 (152)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.102 (162)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.148 (180)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.208 (145)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.126 (170)
When Sexton was traded he was assumed to be a starter and locked in for very high usage as the SG Utah would center their offense around. Fast forward to the time of writing and he has come off the bench behind Malik Beasley (?) as the teams 6th man. Yes he hasn’t played in a while, and maybe Utah is just easing him into things but it seems mighty strange to not just cap his minutes if starting is the role you have in mind for him. I think we see the return of 20-21 Sexton in 22-23 at some point. I think it might take a little bit of time to get there, and I’m not convinced he will see the 35+ minutes he saw that season. Still I think there is legit potential late in Sexton, but don’t go reaching pre pick 90. If he gets snapped up before then there’s plenty of viable alternatives. The 100 mark represents the point he lands on my radar, at some point he is going to be starting and playing big minutes with huge usage and so whilst I have him at 32 minutes, at the crucial end of the season, in fantasy playoffs, I am banking on near 36 minutes a night and top 75 numbers. Before then you might have to settle for top 120 to 150.
- Punt Blocks – like a lot of guards Sexton does not impact the block category. However where Sexton is rare is he actually very very good from the field. He chips in with enough 3s, assists and steals to support his great scoring and maintains around average FG% so he isn’t dragging it down like other guards in his range would with comparable statlines.
- Balanced – You don’t expect blocks from your guards anyway. As long as you’ve stocked yourself up with appropriate bigs then proceed as you would with any other guard.
- Lets see how the role plays out. At some point I believe Sexton will be a starter and provide a very decent return on investment. We just might need to be patient.
121. Javale Mcgee – DAL – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.249 (110)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.079 (147)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.019 (126)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.300 (116)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.396 (97)
Big Javale is going undrafted in many leagues. Sure it is a little odd to see him back in draftable situations, especially considering his minutes have been in the teens for several seasons now. Yet Dallas signed him to be there starting 5. Rather oddly they announced he would start just after signing him and this may have been a factor in getting him over the line. As such I see an uptick in minutes this year for the former prototypical big man. He is still an impressive rim runner and protector and should see excellent production in 18+ minutes a night as the starter.
- Balanced – he’s a shot blocking specialist that isn’t going to kill you in anything. Assists are low and so he’s a great fit in punt Assist builds. But so are all late bigs. His FT is on such low attempts it’s also a non-factor.
- The upside here is we see 20 mins and he gives us 11p 7r and 1.8b.
122. Harrison Barnes – SAC – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.219 (121)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.005 (123)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.194 (76)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.232 (131)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.410 (93)
Harrison Barnes is not a player who ever benefits from my rankings approach. He is very much a reasonably hurt free player who doesn’t have any particular strengths. He is very similar to Wiggins except his FT% is a bit better and FG% more like average. He’s reliable, he doesn’t sit games and he puts up a consistent 16 and 6 ish line with some assists.
- Balanced – nothing really stands out here – you could potentially use him as a big in punt blocks but I wouldn’t say he leans you into that build.
- I think the Kings best build will include both Barnes and Keegan Murray. At the moment they have the rookie coming off the bench. Hopefully Keegan does not take Barnes spot as the season progresses as he has been impressive off the bench.
123. Bones Hyland – DEN – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.195 (129)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.040 (133)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.065 (108)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.202 (146)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.377 (102)
Bones has had an impressive preseason and looks set for a season in which he will compete to be the 6th Man of the year. He should get a boost in minutes when Jamal Murray rests, and looks set to break out similar to Jordan Poole last year. He is an absolute flamethrower from deep and should benefit from additional time on court with Jokic feeding him open looks. The minutes should be around the 25 mark off the bench, there’s some that are hesitant to commit him to that minute load and are thinking he’s more of a late round guy whilst some see him getting even more minutes via playing some SG as well. I think it will be mid 20s regardless and this should mean he can creep up to around the top 130.
- Punt FG – given over half his shots are from deep his FG% is significantly skewed. This will drag your FG, which might be okay but I see Hyland as a strong option in punt FG where you’ve taken care of your boards and blocks earlier and now want cheap options who benefit from the build.
- Minutes – If there is an injury he could explode, conversely, if we see Bruce Brown or KCP out play him we may see the minutes get squashed down to low 20s instead.
124. Brandon Clarke – MEM – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.248 (111)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.012 (121)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.027 (139)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.352 (104)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.287 (127)
Clarke is the opposite of the next guy on this list. He started inside the top 80 on some draft boards and has since been beaten to a starting spot by Santi Aldama and looks set for a role in the low 20 minutes per night. This is a huge disappointment for Clarke who provides us with a fantastic boost to FG% late with a trickle of other big man stats. He’s still worth taking a stab at in case he plays more minutes off the bench than expected but I’m not even sure if mid 120s is late enough for him at this stage.
- Balanced – he fits all builds. Nothing that’s missing from his game is on enough volume to hurt you.
- Minutes are key here, a lot of leagues are dropping him in favour of better options. You might get yourself a nice steal from the waiver wire if his minutes are in fact around 24-26 off the bench.
125. Javonte Green – CHI – SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.223 (120)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.076 (99)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.107 (94)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.287 (121)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.317 (119)
The late bolter that had me scrambling to re-order my draft board. Green looks set to open the season as the starter for Chicago once he recovers from his minor hip pointer injury. As long as he doesn’t miss too much time he should start for the Bulls and be a fantastic late round option. He’s in that low volume, ultra-efficient wing that gives you a 3 and some steals mould.
- Punt Assists – a primary factor in punt assists teams who are well stocked for 3s.
- Keep and eye on the Hip pointer. These can keep players out for weeks and this might take the wind out of his starting hopes, which would likely destroy all his value in standard leagues.
126. Daniel Gafford – WAS – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.270 (104)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.040 (134)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.014 (127)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.345 (106)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.391 (100)
A bit on the high side for Gafford he gets here due to two things. One – he blocks shots at an absurd rate. Two – he is Kristaps Porzingis backup. This means at some point throughout this season he gets starters minutes or at the very least he will play mid 20s. That’s enough to make him a top 70 guy. So for about 20-30 games this year we are looking at a top 70 center who can swat with the best of them. That’s worth taking a stab at if you ask me.
- Porzingis is a ticking time bomb, stash Gafford if you can otherwise keep a very close eye on waivers if KP goes down. It could win you your league if the injury happens in the back half of the year.
127. Chris Boucher – TOR – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.270 (105)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.030 (113)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.124 (92)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.329 (107)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.422 (90)
2 years ago, Boucher was a home run taken around the 100 mark and returned middle round value. Now he’s been relegated to a much slimmer role. This role could get further eaten into by Precious Achiuwa this year. I think he offers a distinct advantage as a ultra-athletic rim defender who can play the help defence role slightly better than Precious. Precious can defend the perimeter though which is much sort after these days. All this is to say, there’s risk in this pick, Boucher’s blocks dried up last year and I expect them to return this year as do I expect his FG% to improve back to the mean somewhat too.
- Punt FG
- Watch the minutes situation between Precious, Boucher and Birch. It’s unclear who will get what but one will be the odd man out.
128. Aleksej Pokusevski – OKC – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.166 (142)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.083 (154)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.058 (153)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.207 (147)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.250 (138)
Poku is largely being slept on this year. He seems locked into a starting role with Chet out for the year. In such a role with decent minutes last year he showed off impressive vision. I have erred on the side of caution with his minutes, could be 28, 29 or 30-plus. He has massive upside this year in a near 30-minute role. I worry about his frame and durability but it has mostly held up so far.
- Punt FG / TO – he serves the same purpose to both builds individually but really benefits from the double punt as a big man who hits threes and provides dimes late with a block. A total unicorn for this build that can be had outside 100.
- The upside is what we come here for. In punt FG/TO he is top 70 in 30 minutes a night.
129. Jalen Suggs – ORL – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.146 (150)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.194 (198)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.235 (201)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.227 (135)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.129 (169)
Suggs really climbed up draft boards about a fortnight ago. Then he injured himself and finds himself handing Cole Anthony the reigns during his absence. Suggs couldn’t of been much worse last year for fantasy purposes. He was a great defender in real life, this unfortunately didn’t matter to Fantasy owners. His steals are the key ingredient here, he should have an opportunity to start at some point this year inbetween coming back from injury and Fultz returning. If he takes advantage of that opportunity there is a good chance he keeps the spot once Fultz is back. He shot woefully from the field last year. I think this will bounce back in his sophomore season – not enough to not tank your FG, but enough to give him actual value.
- Punt FG
- This ranking is based on him starting once he’s healthy assuming you have an IL spot.
130. John Wall – LAC – PG
SR Value (Rank): 0.135 (153)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.210 (203)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.242 (205)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.210 (144)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.122 (172)
Some thought Wall might start in LA this year. It seems he will be coming off the bench. A 30 minute role should still be present for him. Percentages will be the key for him being rosterable off the bench. I am a believer in his game, but he won’t have the hyper usage we saw two years ago in Houston. There will be a lot of rust to shake off and as such I don’t have him being very efficient. This might be a harsh take however as his percentages have been quite good in the preseason. The 30 minutes might be high off the bench also. There’s a lot of upside in this selection, especially for Punt FT builds.
- Punt FT / TO
- The minutes split between Jackson and Wall will be the key thing to watch. I expect Wall to have more minutes then Jackson even if he is off the bench. Wall should also get a boost on nights where PG or Kawhi rest.
131. Caleb Martin – MIA – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.194 (130)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.099 (90)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.181 (81)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.230 (133)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.315 (120)
A late bolter in my rankings, Martin, the Hear version, has positioned himself as an excellent and diverse option for the Heat. He does a bit of everything and factors to be a great roto option late in drafts. For H2H he isn’t quite the home run, but he represents good value in most leagues where you can take him with your last pick or in free agency. He should take a larger volume of 3s in the starting line-up down in Miami. He’s was incredibly efficient last year and I expect this to take a slight hit playing against starters – the potential for it to remain is there though.
- Punt Assists
- His shot distribution will tell us what sort of player he is, although he is one of those excellent players where if he takes more or less he kind of stays as valuable because his FG% will proportionately increase if his 3 point volume reduces.
132. Mason Plumlee – CHA – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.291 (96)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.130 (172)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.093 (161)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.373 (96)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.417 (91)
Plumlee is a favourite sleeper of mine. It’s hard to find late round big men who can do a bit of everything, especially in for Punt FT builds that likely need some out of position assists and steals. His FG impact should remain strong and we hope blocks come back slightly with an increased minute role. The rebounds also have some upside in my ranking as do points (particularly if he can improve his FT% back to something resembling his career average).
- Punt FT
- We could see more minutes than this as the starter, he has a minor ailment at the moment and if the young bigs behind him show some quality we could see Charlotte opt to play them more to further their development.
133. Steven Adams – MEM – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.228 (118)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.190 (195)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.118 (168)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.270 (124)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.372 (103)
Adams is a beast of a big man who is sadly not the most mobile. His archetype of player is slowly becoming extinct. This is amplified by the fact he is an average rim defender and you just won’t find enough minutes for him. I see Clarke taking some minutes from him this year and once JJJ is back we could be looking at low 20s. However there’s still some value in a 25 minute a night Steven Adams. He provides great rebounds and assists from the big man spot with nearly a steal and a block a game. Worthy of a late round pickup if you need a big.
- Punt FT
- Another big you can take with Plumlee to boost your big man stats late in Punt FT builds. If you’ve loaded up on scoring and 3s early it can make a lot of sense.
134. De’Anthony Melton – PHI – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.185 (137)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.020 (117)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.096 (98)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.219 (140)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.303 (123)
Melton finds himself in a similar situation to Memphis in Philly this year. He will be competing with Thybulle for defensive specialist minutes off the bench behind Harden and Maxey. He projects a little better than Thybulle as I think they will find Melton’s ability to space the floor ideal when going with 3 guard line-ups. Thybulle makes more sense against taller line-ups so will depend on matchups. Still, a hyper elite per minute player, if there are injuries and Melton can find himself in mid to high 20s he will be a top 100 option.
- Punt Assists
- Punt FG%
- Punt Points
- Minutes are key here, Melton played 18 a night in preseason to Thybulle’s 13 which suggests he is leading the way between the two.
135. Isaiah Hartenstein – NYK – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.203 (125)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.059 (140)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.012 (136)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.252 (126)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.306 (122)
A time share with Mitchell Robinson is touted by some for Hartenstein. Knicks wanted him and got him across from LA which would suggest they saw a prominent role for him in NYC. I am not convinced this role is more than a low 20s role however some see it being a genuine 50-50 split. I think Robinson offers a size and rim protection factor that will be important in a jumbo sized eastern conference. Still if Hartenstein can get low 20s he will be useful for punt points builds. He gains additional value in other builds around 22 minutes a night.
- Punt Points
- Robinson played just 2 mins a night more than Hartenstein in the preseason which could suggest the minutes split is closer than I think.
136. Bogdan Bogdanovic – ATL – SG/SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.191 (134)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.050 (107)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.008 (131)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.277 (122)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.210 (147)
Bog Bog represents a nice option late in drafts. It’s rare I actually think an injury will benefit a player but if you factor in draft position. If Bog Bog was in the top 120 I just couldn’t recommend too many scenarios where he makes sense to draft. In this reality though, he starts the year hurt and you can get him very late in drafts. This means we can get a 15 ppg scorer with nearly 3 triples a night on great efficiency in the second last round of our drafts – a huge win.
- Likely coming off the bench as the 6th man I think this role will be a good one for Bogdan. I don’t think starting or coming off the bench affects him at all.
137. Isaiah Jackson – IND – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.193 (132)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.101 (160)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.052 (148)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.240 (129)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.293 (125)
A block specialist – Jackson will be hard to own for most of the season. Jackson will need Myles Turner to be moved on to really shine. He showed off impressive pick and roll efficiency with Haliburton in the preseason and is a hyper athletic shot blocker. He compares most closely to Robert Williams as an off the charts defensive specialist. He averaged 6 blocks per 36 in the preseason.
- Punt FT
- I expect Turner to be moved at some point. It could be earlier than the All Star break if the Lakers new big man additions can’t prove to be effective.
138. Malik Beasley – UTA – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.224 (119)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.068 (143)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.102 (95)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.219 (141)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.459 (86)
Somehow starting at SG for Utah Malik Beasley looks set for a solid year. It seems Utah is not concerned about playing there young players but rather showcasing vets they wish to move on for more picks. Malik fits the bill and could be of use to a contender as a bench scorer. He’s an elite shooter and could be part of a package sent to the Lakers if a deal is made later in the season. This would likely destroy all of his value. Till then though, slot him in as a source of late round elite scoring and 3s.
- Punt FG
- We haven’t heard Beasley linked anywhere yet, but I suspect he could be dealt to the Lakers alongside Olynyk if that is the preferred trade in the end for the Lakers to add to their roster.
139. Patrick Beverley – LAL – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.149 (146)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.032 (112)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.098 (164)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.251 (127)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.094 (179)
P-Bev finds himself starting for the Lakers this year and should see an increased package of minutes as an off-ball option in LA. This will hurt his assists somewhat but should help his 3 point volume. This overall adjustment still has him as a useful late round option and someone I am adding in a lot of leagues if not just for an opening night stream.
- Punt Points
- I still expect Beverley to log some assists as the starting point guard even though the ball will likely be in the hands of LBJ and Davis more.
140. Kevin Love – CLE – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.166 (141)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.057 (139)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.033 (140)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.217 (142)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.231 (140)
You may or may not see Kevin Love getting drafted in your leagues. He is on the fringe, drafted in about 75% of my competitive leagues. That needs to change. There’s legitimate top 120 upside here with one injury resulting in top 100 upside. Love is a full season removed from injury now and played 74 games last year meaning I think he has fully recovered and is ready to average more minutes than the 22-23 he averaged last year. He is effectively Clevelands 6th man, and when Lauri Markkanen didn’t play last year he averaged 26-27 minutes a night with a 15 and 8 with 3 triples line. If he repeats that there is a whole lot of value in Love late. Pair that with the fact Mobley could miss part of the first week and he gets a little boost.
- Punt FG
- Punt Blocks
- Minutes are key, there’s definite upside in the 24-minute projection – to maybe 26 minutes where he flirts with top 110.
141. Bojan Bogdanovic – DET – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.153 (144)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.100 (158)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.003 (130)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.173 (152)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.265 (135)
Bojan has moved to a Detroit team in desperate need of spacing. He figures to start in the front court along Saddiq Bey and Isaiah Stewart after Marvin Bagley injured his knee. It will be interesting if this continues after Bagley is back but depending on opposing team’s line-ups I assume it will vary. Still, Bojan should find enough shots feeding off Cade’s penetration to offer fantasy owners a similar line to what we have become accustomed to over the years: Points, 3s and FT%.
- Volume could suffer slightly and we might get closer to the 20-21 version.
142. Immanuel Quickley – NYK – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.235 (116)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.085 (151)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.092 (99)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.228 (134)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.483 (81)
Quickley looks set for a slightly better role in 22-23. He could get some more minutes as a 2 next to Brunson. His value will definitely be tied to the minutes but he has massive upside in the right build. Quickley’s efficiency was down from 3 last year, expecting this to come back slightly. Fournier likely starts at the 2 for the Knicks but there’s minutes up for grabs there for sure – especially in a team that craves outside shooting.
- Punt FG
- Quickley played more minutes than Fournier in preseason. Both didn’t shoot the ball well but Quickley was shooting with a short memory – he chucked up 21.4 shots per 36 and only hit 7.3 of them. He will need to be more efficient to warrant playing time.
143. Matisse Thybulle – PHI – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.272 (103)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.022 (128)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.020 (124)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.355 (102)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.380 (101)
It would seem that Thybulle falls victim to the sixers recent additions this season. He still has situational value as a hyper-defensive-specialist late in drafts and for punt points teams but he literally provides nothing else and will likely only serve his purpose as a streaming option off waivers when you need that defensive boost unless he can match his minutes from last year. He has reportedly worked hard on his 3 point shot and it’s showed in preseason with high volume and %s.
- Punt Points
- The 3 ball is the key to his minutes. It was good in preseason, if he keeps that up he could find his way into a starting role.
144. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – DEN – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.233 (117)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.018 (118)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.209 (73)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.233 (130)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.465 (84)
A change of scenery for KCP is a bit of an unknown to me. I’m not sure if playing next to Jokic will actually be really good for his value or whether he just won’t see the ball enough to score more than around 10 points a game. Either way he is a late round 3 and D guy. His type used to be abundant at this point of the draft and I would almost rely on picking up a couple to provide a late round boost to my 3s and steals. These days there are less of them around and they are playing less minutes or are way higher on the draft board.
- Punt Assists
- He’s locked into starting, we don’t know how many minutes but it should be around 30-33. Unlike most players I don’t think this will really effect his value too much.
145. Walker Kessler – UTA – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.179 (139)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.183 (191)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.138 (176)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.221 (138)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.275 (132)
I almost didn’t include Kessler here as It seems he’s currently an afterthought in Utah. He will backup Olynyk in a ~20 minute a night role which caps his value as a defensive stopper. He still has value and should be drafted in almost all leagues. Olynyk will likely be traded or benched at some point to give Walker minutes and it is then that he will shine and the stash will pay off – hopefully right around Fantasy Playoffs.
- Punt FT
- Monitor the minutes early, if he is stuck down around 15 he is probably safe to let go and pick back up around January / February in prep for a post-ASB boost.
146. Bennedict Mathurin – IND – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.118 (162)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.068 (144)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.045 (145)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.149 (163)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.173 (160)
Mathurin has exploded in preseason. He is much better than I anticipated and seems to have all but locked in a starting wing role for the Pacers. He has been incredible getting to the rim in the preseason. He has gotten to the rim over 10 times per 36 (numbers that rival peak Harden) and has hit 85% of his shots from the stripe. He hasn’t faired so well from 3, hitting just 15% of those attempts. He has however been incredible inside the arc so his overall FG% sits at 48%. I see this balancing itself out. He hasn’t contributed a lot defensively which is a concern but the Pacers have found an elite slasher in Mathurin.
- Punt Assists
- If he doesn’t start immediately it won’t be long before he’s inserted in the line-up. His minutes should eclipse 30 comfortably.
147. Bobby Portis – MIL – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.193 (131)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.016 (126)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.091 (101)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.226 (136)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.321 (118)
I’m not a massive fan of Bobby Portis as things stand in 22/23. His minutes and value disappear when Lopez is healthy. In 12 games with Brook Lopez last year Portis minutes went from ~29 without Lopez to ~25 with him. His points dropped from 15.6 per game to 9.5 per game, his rebounds, assists and steals dropped in line with the minutes drop but blocks more than halved from .8 to .3 as Portis role in protecting the rim disappeared. His FG% also disappeared with his 3P% going from 40% to 30% (something I don’t think holds water). Still Portis is not the guy from last year with Lopez healthy, there is a good chance Lopez picks up a knock at some stage, but with him active Portis is a last round guy with handcuff upside.
- Punt Blocks / Punt FG: Portis fits the same need for both of these builds. Rebounds and scoring whilst still providing triples. Perfectly fine as a late round guy for this purpose.
- There’s a chance Portis starts to steal minutes off Lopez in general this year, he is still in his prime and Lopez is approaching retirement in the next 2-3 seasons. If Portis can snag a 27 minute a night role there’s value in him late.
148. Onyeka Okongwu – ATL – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.197 (127)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.092 (154)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.043 (144)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.249 (128)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.291 (126)
Okongwu is an excellent player in real life. It seems apparent to me that there will come a point in time where Atlanta decide to part ways with Capela and go all in on Okongwu. I am not confident that that will be this year. However Capela has struggled to stay healthy and was suffering a foot injury all year last year which hurt his minutes. Despite Capela appearing healthy this year this could lead to longer term injuries that open up a big role for Okongwu – if that does happen, Okongwu represents a draft day steal.
- It will be interesting if Capela’s minutes come back, Okongwu and Capela played equal minutes in the preseason but Capela played the role better, cleaning the glass and defending the rim well.
149. Markelle Fultz – ORL – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.077 (177)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.100 (159)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.285 (214)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.172 (153)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.036 (210)
I was hyped about Fultz leading into the season. Keen to spend a fringe top 100 pick on him to give me Jalen Brunson lite numbers late. Unfortunately he’s in a moonboot and set to spend another lengthy spell on the sidelines. Still once he returns there’s a chance he can work his way back to a starting role by the time fantasy playoffs begin and this warrants a stash in leagues that will allow you to do so.
- Punt 3s
- A super late swipe at a potential top 100 starting guard is worth it with the last round in your draft, especially if you have IL spots.
150. Tari Eason – HOU – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.123 (160)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.081 (150)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.051 (147)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.155 (159)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.183 (156)
Another rookie who has exploded in the preseason. Eason looks like a steal for the Rockets. He looks set to be the perfect wing piece next to Jabari Smith and Jalen Green. A hyper athletic slasher who plays energizer bunny defence – Eason projects as a Thybulle type defensive presence with a much better 3 ball and elite boards. It’s a matter of time before he’s introduced in the starting line-up in bigger minutes.
- I won’t be surprised if Eason starts opening night. He’s shown he’s got a competent enough 3 ball and can help the other starters thrive. He could be top 80 in 30 mins a night if not higher.