85. Kyle Lowry
86. Marcus Smart
87. Jarred Vanderbilt
88. Jabari Smith
89. Keegan Murray
90. Tyler Herro
91. Kyle Kuzma
92. Gary Trent
93. Nicolas Claxton
94. Jaren Jackson
95. Robert Williams
96. Saddiq Bey
97. Jerami Grant
98. Tre Jones
99. Isaiah Stewart
100. Gordon Hayward
101. Ivica Zubac
102. Anfernee Simons
103. Herbert Jones
104. PJ Washington
105. Cole Anthony
106. Malcolm Brogdon
107. Cameron Johnson
108. Tobias Harris
Rounds 2 & 3
Rounds 4 & 5
Rounds 6 & 7
Late Round Picks
85. Kyle Lowry – MIA – PG
SR Value (Rank): 0.323 (89)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.154 (79)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.087 (101)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.471 (85)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.353 (108)
Lowry is a huge injury risk. He’s also (as we just discussed for KPJ) a unique stat-line we simply can’t get beyond this point. ~2.5 triples, 7.5 assists, okay scoring, a steal on (unlike KPJ) decent percentages. Okay he might miss some games, when he’s on the court he’s outplaying this draft position, especially when you factor in the scarcity of his line.
- Balanced – Lowry used to be more of a punt FG guy. Now on lower volume its less harmful so you can roll him out in any build.
- More of the offense will run through Adebayo this year. I’m confident of it. However at worst it just means more 3s for Lowry and slightly less assists.
86. Marcus Smart – BOS – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.301 (99)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.138 (85)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.070 (106)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.432 (93)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.341 (112)
A difficult player to accurately evaluate with the Brogdon deal. Smart is similar in value to Lowry and KPJ but his point of difference is reliably elite steals production to go with decent 3s and assists. It will be interesting to see if the Brogdon acquisition effects his minutes. White appears to be starting next to Smart at this stage but between those two positions there’s 96 minutes to go around with brown to play a decent portion of his minutes there as well.
- Punt FG – His FG% is a drain, and so he makes most sense for punt FG builds who have geared up on big men stats early in preparation of cashing in on the builds strengths later.
- I expect similar minutes to last year for Smart but if they creep down to 31 don’t be surprised. This would drop his value to fringe top 100.
87. Jarred Vanderbilt – UTA – SF/PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.485 (55)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.138 (84)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.257 (58)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.595 (56)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.752 (48)
This is probably the first shock name in a while. Vando is a unicorn in fantasy. He will provide elite boards and steals, with a block but literally no points. He is a Robert Covington, Nerlens Noel from years gone by kind of player. With how valuable rebounds are and his very solid FG impact as well as likely big opportunity for minutes in a tanking Utah, I am a fan of Vando here. This is also where the numbers start to lie to us. Sure he is going to rank high but largely because of his low turnovers and impact on defensive categories which tend to fluctuate.
- Punt Points – It’s hard to justify him in any other build. Unless you’ve established a scoring empire it’s very risky to draft Vanderbilt as he might literally score 6-7ppg a night not only deflating your points category but also failing to sufficiently impact your FG%.
- He seems to be locked into a starting position next to Lauri and Olynyk. The catch here is he fits amazingly next to these two players, but a whole lot worst next to Kessler who may force his way into the starting line-up at some point.
88. Jabari Smith – HOU – SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.338 (83)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.076 (99)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.095 (97)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.439 (92)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.476 (82)
Jabari should be the second rookie off the board. When is a bit of an open question. He’s going to be quite an inefficient shooter – I may have over projected this inefficiency but it remains to be seen. He did not shoot it well from inside the arc in college and I expect that to continue in the NBA. What he does bring however is elite defensive upside – I think there is a very good chance we see a 2 triples 1 steal 1 block season in Jabaris rookie year which puts him in rare triple threat company. Pair this with fantastic rebounds for a wing and we have a very good option in and around R7 or 8.
- Punt Assists – Being the 4th option I Houston Jabari will likely be a 3 and D specialist in his rookie season. He is a great pairing with Michael Porter around this point as his FG% will likely be poor but he should be able to boost your defensive stocks well to go with decent rebounding, 3s and points.
- Punt FG – Jabari offers great rebounds for his position which this build will need as well fantastic defensive presence. A really good and probably underrated option.
- Rookies are difficult to forecast so there is a wide range of areas where my projection may be off here so take that into consideration on draft day.
89. Keegan Murray – SAC – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.302 (96)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.144 (81)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.175 (82)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.391 (97)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.427 (89)
The Kings rookie showed out in summer league. He is backing it up in preseason despite coming off the bench. I like the Kings approach to really make him earn it. Realistically it should be Barnes at the 4 and Murray at the 3 feeding off Fox and Sabonis. That will be the line-up by the end of the season. Keegan’s line has incredible upside. I may have overstated his defensive numbers but his versatility and defensive capability will be a key factor along with rebounds and 3s. Like I have said in other places, rookies are the hardest to predict so take this projected line with a grain of salt for the most part.
- Balanced – Keegan is a perfectly reasonable fit anywhere from R8 in almost every build.
- There’s upside in the minutes here which will only strengthen Keegan’s line. A 2-1-1 triple threat line is within reach with 16 points and 7 boards to boot.
90. Tyler Herro – MIA – PG/SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.301 (98)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.088 (97)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.105 (93)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.391 (96)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.423 (90)
It’s going to be interesting to see whether Tyler Herro is a starter for the Heat this year. On one hand he’s arguably their most talented offensive player. On the other he was a non-factor in important playoff games the heat needed to win. He believes he has earnt his starting role in 22/23 but he has utility as a higher usage guy off the bench also. Whichever it is, it’s less relevant for fantasy. What is relevant is a very efficient G/F who chips in some assists and rebounds like a wing would, gives us elite 3s on great percentages. He lacks defense and that’s what holds his ranking back. You will likely see him go in the 70s in your draft and I simply don’t rate him there, he would have to play 36 mins a night and take his game to another level for that spot to have any upside.
- Punt FT – His stat line offers everything this build would typically want from a late mid round player. Scoring, 3s and assists on a not terrible FG%.
- Punt Steals – Steals is the one category Herro is lacking for his position. Punt it and that issue goes away. The build typically requires great 3s and assists players and he provides that in spades.
- Starting or bench doesn’t affect him like it does some players, don’t focus too much on that and more as to whether his minutes are increasing or he’s added something to his game.
91. Kyle Kuzma – WAS – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.273 (107)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.026 (117)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.096 (95)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.322 (111)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.449 (88)
Kuzma exploded at the end of last season with Brad Beal out. He posted 19p 8.2r 4.4a and a block wit 2 triples without Beal in 29 games last year representing a large step up from the 15p 8.8r and 2.8a he was posting with Beal. Beal is healthy now and KP is in town so there may not be scope for quite that level of production. However, I think KK has established himself as the no.3 option on the Wizards and will be the primary benefactor from a usage standpoint if (when) Porz and Beal miss games. This gives him a slight boost on last years averages across the board with role and general fit amongst the Washington roster another plus.
- Punt FG / TO – I like Kuz as a source of rebounds in punt FG or TO builds, he chups in with a block and some good scoring and assists for the position. The mediocre FT% isn’t really a factor with how strong this build typically is in this.
- Punt FT – for the opposite reasons to Punt FG, Punt FT builds use Kuzma to prop up scoring and assists whilst still contributing to rebounds. The build is typically elite in FG% and has low turnovers so these deficiencies are less of a concern.
- This draft position places him a bit ahead of the numbers suggestion for his draft rank. He does have some deficiencies to his overall line however it’s the difficulty from which to find what he offers that helps him stand out. He is Markkanan without the FT% but with an extra half a block per game.
92. Gary Trent – TOR – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.384 (76)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.110 (90)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.178 (80)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.485 (82)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.567 (66)
Trent is a very divisive player in 22/23. Half of the fantasy world see a 23yo sniper who had nearly 2 swipes a game last year – incredibly valuable in any build. I dare say Trent’s breakout won some leagues last year. But this year it’s rumoured he may come off the bench as Toronto looks to get bigger to deal with the jumbo line-ups present in the East. I suggest he will be the odd man out when Toronto needs to size up but will start half the season when matchups allow it. An elite perimeter defender Trent should see plenty of minutes irrespective of starter or 6th man status, but living up to a high benchmark last year will be difficult.
- Punt FG – Shooters shoot. He has a healthy 3P diet and this accordingly tanks his FG%. You come here if he falls a round or two in your league to the 90s to double down on the strengths of the build.
- Punt Assists – probably the even better build for Trent is punt assists. He offers little in assists but everything the build needs: Points, 3s, FT% and Steals. You will have a strong base in rebounds in this build anyway (or you should) which makes up for his deficiencies there.
- Trent’s steals spiked nearly double on a per minute basis last year. This is incredibly unsustainable and I have chosen to take the middle ground here. He may prove us wrong and sustain last years high mark but he may also retrace to his prior form here around 1 or just over per game.
- In a bench role the minutes will be the key factor for Trent. I have again opted to take the middle ground, but off the bench Trent may feel squeezed for playing time.
93. Nicolas Claxton – BKN – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.386 (73)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.036 (132)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.072 (154)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.542 (82)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.462 (86)
Clax is poised for a breakout season. For the first time in his career the Nets haven’t brought in every past their prime veteran PF to steal C minutes from him. Now the true 5 role is his and with a more built out frame he may finally be ready to play big minutes. I think he is in a similar position to Zubac from previous seasons where I see the Nets using Simmons and KD at the 5 in different line-ups which will unfortunately cap his upside. However a 25+ minute a night role is what is required for Claxton to be a huge beakout candidate. He has abysmal FT% so is more of a punt FT option late if you’ve missed out on your other options but offers incredible upside. In 28 mins a night he jumps to a top 40 player.
- Punt FT – despite rumours he has worked on his FT shooting in the offseason I’ll need to see it to believe it. He has been terrible from the line and as such I’m not banking on big improvements.
- If hypothetically he has fixed his FT% and he plays more like 28 minutes, Claxton is an incredible steal where he is currently being taken outside the top 100 spots in a very light center market.
94. Jaren Jackson – MEM – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.302 (97)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.247 (61)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.116 (167)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.558 (62)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.093 (183)
The oft-injured superstar JJJ finds himself starting another season on the trainers table. His offseason foot procedure has him sidelined until some time between November and January. He has sounded optimistic about returning on the earlier end of that timeline however it would be a surprise to me if the Grizzlies allowed him back before the end of November / December. He is a unicorn when he plays, I see a very slow ramp whenever he does come back with additional rest days which will be frustrating to own throughout the season. Once he does hit his full minutes complement however – likely around 28 minutes at the business end of the season, you have a top 50 player likely averaging 16p 6r and 2 blocks with around 2 triples.
- Punt FG – the obvious fit for a shooting big, this build needs big man specialists and JJJ is a unicorn dream for this build. Essentially a KP clone with slightly less boards you can have at around pick 90 and stash in IL.
- Punt Assists – the other fit for JJJ is in punt assists where he helps us remain relevant in points, 3s and steals from the big man spot while giving a large dose of blocks.
- There’s still no clear timeline for return and the Grizz have been terrible at providing accurate updates in the past. This will be a wait and see situation but I like him as a 90s selection just before he drops on most peoples radar if you have IL spots.
95. Robert Williams – BOS – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.593 (41)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.485 (26)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.058 (108)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.958 (25)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.455 (87)
23/09 Update: Williams underwent successful surgery however the timeline that has been released for his return was a lot worse than initially expected. Williams will miss 8-12 weeks translating to around 4-8 weeks of the fantasy season and now should be considered along with JJJ in the 80-100 range only.
21/09 Update: Robert Williams has opted for arthroscopic knee surgery and will miss the opening of the season. I expect this to be around 2 weeks – I also anticipate this to affect his games played throughout the season (rest) and likely his minutes as well. As such re-ranking him accordingly. The risk is high here given his injury history and I expect the Celtics to try and keep him as healthy as possible. I previously ranked Williams a 2nd round player and he still has a chance to be a top 30 player on a per game basis.
Time Lord finally exploded onto the scene last year for the Celtics. An incredible per minute stud for years, Williams finally got the minutes required to be an effective contributor. Rob Will’s FT% shot up to .722 on just 1.5 attempts meaning his impact to the FT% category was negligible which boosts his 9-Cat value. I am not necessarily convinced by this shift for the coming seasons, I think some regression is in order here. Still – Time Lord’s meal ticket is best in class FG%, rebounds and blocks. I don’t see a lot of room for growth in Williams’ minutes next season, nor do I see a larger role – I think we can more or less plug in last years stats – perhaps with slightly higher free throw attempts.
- Punt Points – By far the best build to take Robert Williams in and the build that justifies his R2 status is Punt Points. A lot of big men fit this build so it can be better to take efficient guards that boost both percentages here but few players will anchor our FG% like Williams while having a negligible impact on our FT%.
- Punt FT – If you are sceptical about Robert’s FT% then its safe to roll him into the Punt FT build. I think Gobert is a better option for this, and Time Lord doesn’t force you into a Punt FT but given he has seasons at flat .600 ish FT% it can mitigate the risk of regression here.
- Balanced – If you buy last year’s FT% you can plug Williams into any build and reap the rewards of his defensive prowess. Make sure you have draft elite Points and Assists either side of him in R1, 3 and 4.
- FT% is the only risk – it could regress so be mindful of this when taking him in Punt Points or Balanced builds
- Al Horford is 36 – he is well into father time and if he does take a further step back in minutes or an injury strikes, Rob Williams could benefit significantly; a 32 minute Time Lord is a top 10 player.
96. Saddiq Bey – DET – SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.414 (65)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.088 (96)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.275 (56)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.462 (87)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.734 (50)
Bey has work to do to become more efficient. It is one thing to take 8 3s a game to be a sharpshooter but it’s another altogether when you’re hitting them at sub 35%. The addition of Bojan should help space the floor and keep him less occupied in 22/23 however with so many mouths to feed it is unlikely volume increases. Bey is known for his work ethic, he is constantly working extra hours and long off seasons to improve his game above and beyond that of his NBA peers. You would expect this to pay off and I expect his efficiency to start to trend upwards. Playing with a superstar in Cade should also help this. Pair this with the fact Bey has been an ironman so far in his career and we have a recipe for a very solid Punt FG shooter, albeit this type of player can be easily had 50 picks later just with less upside –Tim Hardaway Jr or Devonte Graham.
- Punt FG – unfortunately Bey leaves us little flexibility shooting sub 40% from the floor. We rarely need points and 3s in this build making it a little awkward fitting him in. He actually offers an impressive assist to turnover ratio however so if you are reasonably well set in assists and are in strong competition in points and 3s, Bey is a solid option here.
- There is room for more minutes to boost these numbers slightly. It also wouldn’t be crazy for Bey to post a FG% closer to 45% such is his talent and work ethic. The rise of Cade and addition of Bojan should also open up space on the floor leading to more open looks. This would see him rise into the top 70.
97. Jerami Grant – POR – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.296 (101)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.232 (64)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.168 (84)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.421 (94)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.340 (113)
Grant didn’t pan out in Detroit. It was a failed attempt at finding a superstar the unique way. There are mixed opinions on how Grant will fare in Portland. I don’t think the situation is all that dire. He will be the 2nd or 3rd option in Portland and still command attention. His FG% should significantly rise as he won’t be used so much from the perimeter and more inside as a 4 that gets to the rim with his athleticism. This will see his 3s drop off somewhat and likely his assists too as his usage plummets, playing alongside wild card Nurkic should see his rebounds return somewhat as well as his blocks.
- Punt Rebounds – a weird build but Grant suits more than almost any player with strong shot blocking ability Grant can play out of one of your forward spots and give you hard to find blocks.
- His role has been promising in preseasons with his steals up in particular. Could see a nice uptick there although I haven’t banked on it yet. He has been the 2nd option behind Lillard for shots mostly but is a it’s a 2A 2B situation with Simons.
98. Tre Jones – SAS – PG
SR Value (Rank): 0.306 (95)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.049 (107)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.133 (89)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.378 (99)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.470 (84)
The man responsible for backfilling the gap for Dejounte Murray. Tre Jones averaged 12 and 7 with a steal on 52% from the field and just 1 turnover (!) in 29 minutes without Dejounte in 21/22. Stepping in full time we should see similar per minute production on a 32 minute spread. I expect the Spurs to gameplan more looks for Vassell as a playmaker as well as KJ. So there won’t be quite the same per minute production I feel but if there is we are looking at top 80 easily. The issue I have here is he is starting to go earlier and earlier in drafts and I’m not sure his line quite warrants it. He’s not a shooter, so he hurts us there, he also provides less than average blocks from the guard spot, he’s not an elite thief. He is Brunson with less points and less 3s, I’m just not sure on the upside if he is being taken top 85. As his ceiling feels around 75th.
- Punt 3s – He’s a guard without 3s. will give you fantastic assists and ++ FG% from the PG slot.
- Balanced – Tre doesn’t hurt anything unreasonably outside of 3s. If you need an assists specialist around the 100 mark take him confidently.
- I’d expect he’s worked on his 3 ball in the offseason. How much will remain to be seen – still if he takes 3 a game that’s another source of value for his line and could be his path to a more respectable and higher upside 1-14-4-7-1 line.
99. Isaiah Stewart – DET – PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.315 (93)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.095 (93)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.219 (72)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.376 (101)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.509 (76)
A late riser in my rankings it seemed unclear what the Pistons would do. It appears they have settled on Stewart over Bagley as their starter (rightfully so) at the 5. They will likely use Bagley at the 4 in big matchups, with Stewart having worked on his outside shooting enough to warrant consideration for minutes at the 4 as well. Last year was a strange year for Stewart. He was largely overhyped (including by me) as a breakout with many suggesting to take him in R6/7. This year we actually get him at an incredible discount for a player with large upside as a starting 5.
- Balanced – Stewart really fits in most builds and is an upside play for any team that needs a big around here.
- Continue to monitor the minutes situation – if he plays 30 a night he is a top 80 guy with no real improvement to his game.
100. Gordon Hayward – CHA – SG/SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.199 (132)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.199 (74)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.064 (151)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.370 (103)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.054 (192)
He absolutely does not fit my approach to rankings whatsoever. He is a 9-cat guy without distinguished strengths which fails him when you look to take a players 7 best categories. He’s a roto guy mainly. Efficient and contributes in all 9 categories which you just don’t get this late almost ever. Then factor in that my rankings now look at games played and apply a small but still relevant weighting to total output and you see him ranked way lower than his draft range based on my raw SR value. There’s every chance in 9 cat that Hayward gives you top 50 per game stats. It’s just he’s likely to play hardly more than half a season, he’s also not going to blow up in any particular categories. The return of Clifford helps him I feel as there is going to be a more controlled approach to offense in 22/23. Even if this difference is only slight it’s a significant boost for Hayward.
- Balanced – there’s no build Hayward doesn’t fit. If you need a wing who does a bit of everything and are comfortable with the injury risk then draft away.
- It will be interesting what role Hayward has in 22/23. I say this given Hornets lack of on-ball playmakers. It’s Lamelo, Rozier and Hayward. They will need to stagger the minutes of these 3 players in order to have competent ball handlers on the floor at all times and this could have a positive per minute impact on Haywards assists and scoring.
101. Ivica Zubac – LAC – C
SR Value (Rank): 0.384 (77)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.022 (119)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.228 (70)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.442 (90)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.654 (59)
Big Zubac is a personal favourite of mine. There are no bigs behind him worth taking in non-punt-FT builds. The key here is upside. 26 mins is probably a floor here with no other traditional big man on the roster now he will see all of those minutes. If he pushes 28 you’re looking at top 50/60 type numbers. Zubac offers huge FG% while also being very good in FT%. he has a block a game in him and 8-9 rebounds offering a fantastic package here with a high floor but still some upside.
- Punt Points – a clean 9 rebound big with a block on low turnovers and immense percentages.
- Balanced – almost any build can use a player like Zubac. He gives your FG% a huge shot in the arm without hurting FT%.
- Minutes like for many players are pivotal. Clippers don’t have many alternatives.
102. Anfernee Simons – POR – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.240 (115)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.008 (122)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.031 (121)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.310 (112)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.341 (113)
Simons is a difficult player for me to rate. On one hand his raw numbers place him 20 spots later than this. His numbers popped off the chart as a lone option for a beaten-up Portland last year. Specifically, without Lillard, Simons averaged 22p 3r 5.5a with 4 triples on .450 from the field, .415 from three and .871 from the line. The issue with this is Simons was the ball dominant guard during these line-ups. I’m sure Portland will be creative with line-ups and undoubtedly brought in Gary Payton as a perfect pairing next to Simons and Lillard when the Blazers look to stagger Simons and Dame. I’ve erred on the side of Simons breaking out a little compared to last year overall, down from his ball dominant line from last year but still very relevant and very good.
- Punt Steals – Elite scoring for the draft range, assists and FT impact. Everything this build wants at this point assuming we have locked up some big men.
- Balanced – Other than steals there isn’t much in Simons game that screams punt. If you need elite points and 3s, Simons compares well to Jordan Poole from last year as a potential breakout.
- If Dame was to get hurt during the season you’re looking at an explosion on these numbers, given Dame will likely miss somewhere between 10-15 games here and there throughout the season, expect Simons to go off.
103. Herbert Jones – NOP – SF
SR Value (Rank): 0.324 (87)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.145 (81)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.366 (42)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.366 (97)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.564 (65)
Jones is one of those tough players to grade – he’s similar to Thybulle in a lot of ways with perhaps a more stable set of minutes. I don’t see him improving in leaps and bounds. He will take slightly more 3s and contribute high impact defensively offering a very nice near 1-2-1 triple threat line. He however is extremely lacking in the glamour stats with his points, rebounds and assists being largely non-factors. Playing next to Zion shouldn’t affect him too much but the Pelicans may look to put an additional 3 point shooter on the floor if he cannot reliably knock down open looks.
- Punt Points – Herb will tank your scoring unless he falls outside the top 130. The fact he doesn’t offer rebounds or assists either makes him a tough sell for most builds unless you specifically need a defensive specialist late.
- Trey Murphy has balled out in the preseason and so it’s a situation for us to keep close eyes on. He will offer better spacing than Jones and may replace him in the starting lineup.
104. PJ Washington – CHA – SF/PF/C
SR Value (Rank): 0.243 (114)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.136 (85)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.170 (84)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.309 (114)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.354 (106)
With Miles Bridges gone it will be PJ who steps into the starting 4 spot. Interestingly PJ hasn’t actually benefitted from Miles being out of the line-up with his minutes and role largely unaffected. The player who benefits the most is actually Plumlee who sees a large uptick in minutes and rebounds. PJ looks set to be similar to the last couple of seasons on a per minute basis but his minutes should improve to over 30 a night. He will offer solid 2-1-1 triple threat figures with some wing calibre rebounds and assists to boot.
- Punt FG – looking for a scoring big who can give us some help defensively this late is rare. A player Punt FG Builds can definitely reach into round 8 for.
- Balanced – PJ is a reasonably complete player – as a 9-cat option he grades significantly higher and as such is a great fit for almost any build. He isn’t going to take off and doesn’t have the upside of some players I have recommended ahead of him but he’s a solid pick here.
- If PJ can get some center minutes in small ball lineups that will really help his overall value. I haven’t seen much of it in preseason so keep that in mind but if there are injuries or a traditional C isn’t working for the Hornets he could see a boost.
105. Cole Anthony – ORL – PG
SR Value (Rank): 0.197 (128)
9 Cat Value (Rank): -0.111 (167)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.157 (183)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.297 (118)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.195 (149)
Probably third in the pecking order of Point Guards this season he is the only man left standing. Suggs was awful last year and Fultz was hurt. This left Anthony to pick up a large usage role. This looks set to occur again this year with Fultz hurt yet again and Suggs also ailing to begin the year. Cole should put up numbers with 30+ minutes a night even once Suggs and Fultz are back.
- Punt FG – He’s a bomber, but he picks up great rebounds for the position as well which makes him perfect for the Punt FG builds. His FG% is enough to drop most teams so he isn’t a good fit in punt blocks builds if you aren’t looking to double punt.
- There are a lot of big boys in Orlando now. Franz looks set to start the year at the 2 which means rebounds may be harder to come by. Pair that with the fact Banchero will command more usage and it might chew into some of Anthony’s usage.
106. Malcolm Brogdon – BOS – PG/SG
SR Value (Rank): 0.186 (136)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.097 (91)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): -0.047 (146)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.297 (119)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.152 (163)
If you can remember back to the Milwaukee days, that’s the Brogdon I’m expecting this year. Ultra-efficient from the floor and deep. Chips in some boards, chips in some assists, is clean as a whistle and hopefully can stay out of the trainers room in less minutes a night off the bench. That’s what I think we get this year from Brogdon. He’s going to be clean, he will at times play more minutes and at times play less but overall he is going to be a far better real life option than fantasy option. Still there is value outside 100 here and he is being unreasonably slept on by a lot of people as I see him slip into the 120s in some drafts.
- Balanced – fits every build this late if you need a clean point guard.
- There’s almost all upside from my projection here. Points, 3s, assists could all be much higher.
107. Cameron Johnson – PHO – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.281 (99)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.160 (76)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.186 (78)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.365 (98)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.393 (98)
Cam Johnson is set for a break out season of sorts as a 3 point specialist just post 100. He gives me Bojan Bogdanovic vibes from a couple of years ago. Stretch 4, can absolute light it up, doesn’t do much but score but will be a huge source of 3s with great FT% and next to no turnovers.
- Balanced – you have to need a 3 point bomber that isn’t going to do much else. But a lot of teams do need that around here and there might not be a better one than Cam Johnson.
- His FG% could be higher such as last year, I just don’t give guys 40%+ from 3 without having seen it multiple times and Cam has been up and down. Still the minutes bump with Crowder out of the way means we get to see him with big minutes.
108. Tobias Harris – PHI – SF/PF
SR Value (Rank): 0.199 (126)
9 Cat Value (Rank): 0.093 (93)
9 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.246 (61)
Top 7 Cat Value (Rank): 0.215 (143)
Top 7 Cat Totals (Rank): 0.366 (104)
I’ve had Tobias higher, and Tobias lower than this in several iterations of write-ups. He’s been as low as 130 and as high as 90. I settle somewhere in the middle. I don’t think he will be as bad as he was when Harden arrived last year. I think Maxey surpassed him already as the third option for the 76ers but he still holds an important spot as a starter or early bench guy for the 76ers I feel. He will get some open looks from the outside, and I expect his outside shooting volume to really pick up as
- Balanced – he doesn’t provide defence but makes sense for teams that are well stocked defensively needing a nice clean, versatile player.
- In the preseason we saw him take over half his shots from beyond 3 point land, they didn’t fall particularly well but I think that is okay as things will level out. He’s a capable 3 point guy and has been over his career so he should get to league average on the type of open looks he will get playing off Embiid, Harden and Maxey.